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Archive for November 25th, 2009

GoLearn Forex Analysis 25/11/2009

November 25, 2009 at 10:22 am

The ’09 Gold Rush Continues by GoLearn Forex

Global Equities Market futures are pointing slightly higher for Wednesday’s open.  The DJIA finished lower after a mixed day on Wall Street, losing 17.24 points to close at 10,433.71.  The Fed conceded in minutes released yesterday that a weak dollar may be fueling unwarranted speculation in the markets and that the weak dollar needs to be monitored for fear of creating inflationary conditions.

The DXY was mixed as it responded to the equity market’s whiplash. The Gold rush of 2009 continues at it made new intra-day highs bouncing off 1,180.20 before closing at 1,169.40.  Oil gave up some ground to close at $76.45 a barrel.

We are expecting lighter than normal volumes today ahead of the U.S Holiday on Thursday although there will be a lot of economic data published tomorrow.  Headline data prints will focus on U.K GDP and in the U.S; Crude Oil Inventories, Initial and Continuing Jobless claims, and New Home Sales.

Upcoming Forex Events for November 25, 2009

GBP GDP (QoQ) Forecast  -0.30%  Previous  -0.40%

USD Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) Forecast  0.80%  Previous  0.90%

USD Initial Jobless Claims Forecast  500.00K  Previous  505.00K

USD New Home Sales Forecast    408.00K  Previous  402.00K

EUR, GBP and AUD Support and Resistance by GoLearn Forex

Key Levels of Support & Resistance

EUR, GBP, & AUD

As the market continues its sideways movement it is a good idea to keep cognizant of important key levels of S&R as well as the 50 SMA and 100 SMA.  When markets move sideways for an extended period of time ensuing price action on a breach of major S&R or an MA can be quick, therefore you want to be in a position to execute.

INSERT AUD CHART

AUD key levels of Resistance are as follows; .9300 , .9500, and .9650.

AUD key Support levels are the 50 SMA which is currently at .9038.  The next support level is at .8890 which was the prior low and also represents the 76.4% Fibonacci Retrace level going back to July of 2008.

______________________________________

The EUR is in between 2 key levels of Resistance with the lower level handle at 1.4870 and the near term Resistance at 1.5055.  If we break near term Resistance at 55 then we expect the 76.4% Fibonacci Retrace level from July 2008, at a handle of 1.5165 to stand as the next key Resistance level.  Looking north just a bit further  1.5345 would represent R4

INSERT EUR CHART

A candle appearing below the Support level of the 50 SMA would signal a Short EUR entry. A very strong Short EUR signal would be a close below 61.8% Fibonacci Retrace level from July 2008, which is perfectly in sync with the prior low at 1.4621

GBP is sitting between 2 near term Resistance levels.  We have R1 at 1.65, R2 at 1.66 and R3 at 1.70. the 100 day MA is sitting at 1.6404 and in line with the important Fibonacci Retrace level of 38.2% from November of 2007.

INSERT CHART GBP

When a 100 SMA is above a 50 SMA, as it is with the Cable, it is usually indicative of a falling price environment.  A close below the 50 SMA,currently at 1.6340 would generate a near term Short Pound entry.  The next level of Support at S2 is 1.6130.  A breach of S2 would more than likely send us south of 1.60.

The longer price spends consolidating between 2 points the more price action we expect to see when a breakout finally occurs. It is analogous to a spring placed in a box.  The longer the spring and the more coils one forces into a confined space the more resistance the spring builds.  Conversely, a short spring in the same space has less potential energy.  Break open the box and the larger spring is going to move quicker and further than the smaller spring.  Therefore the longer we consolidate price into a range the more price action we expect to see when it finally breaks key levels of Support and Resistance.

GoLearn Forex.net Optimizes Social Networking to Reach Out to Forex Traders

By utilizing such tremendously popular social networking sites such as Twitter and Facebook, GoLearnForex is reaching forex traders with important educational tools.

Newly re-launched forex educational portal, GoLearnForex.net is reaching out to traders through social networking.  Sites such as Twitter and Facebook are valuable social networking sites for millions of users worldwide.   Members of these popular social sites connect with friends, do business and participate in other social causes and groups via these platforms.

There is a growing presence of forex trading communities on these networking portals and GoLearnForex is reaching out to share their mission of educating those who participate in the foreign exchange market.  Highly trained financial analysts provide unique analysis daily that GoLearnForex seeks to share with traders of all backgrounds.

“Without the proper education forex can become a negative investing experience for traders,” shared Michael Law, editor of GoLearnForex.net.  “We want to empower those seeking a profit in forex to really reap the full benefit of the largest market in the world.”

Communities of “friends” and “followers” that utilize GoLearnForex range from all types of traders and are located all over the globe.  You can find GoLearnForex on Twitter and Facebook under the username “GoLearnForex.”

About us:

GoLearnForex.net was created in 2006 by a team of Forex professionals to offer traders a one-stop shop for all their Forex needs. The portal offers the latest up-to-the minute technical and fundamental analysis from some of the leading providers around, as well as relevant forex related news, and directories of brokers, fund managers , software and education providers.

Analysis by http://www.golearnforex.net

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Daily Review 25/11/2009

November 25, 2009 at 10:15 am

USD Dollar (USD)

The Dollar lost an important part of previous gains after the minutes of the FOMC showed that the FED sees a slow recovery and expects the unemployment rate to remain at high levels. Earlier, The GDP came out 2.8% worse than expected 2.9%. The U.S. markets ended with minor losses. Dow Jones ended the session with a loss of -0.16%, NASDAQ fell by -0.31% and the S&P 500 decreased by -0.05%. Gold (XAU) did not reach new highs closing at 1168$ an ounce. Crude Oil tumbled and closed under 76$ a barrel. Today, The Core Durable Goods Orders expected 0.8% vs. 0.9% previously. The Initial Jobless Claims expected 500K vs. 505K previously. The New Home Sales expected 408K vs. 402K previously.

EURO (EUR)

The Dollar lost daily gains against the Euro but the Euro failed one more time to break above 1.5. The pair is still moving sideways between 1.5050 and 1.48. The German GDP came out as expected unchanged at 0.7%. The German IFO Business Climate Index came out 93.9 better than expected 92.5. The Industrial New Orders came out 1.5% also better than expected 0.6%. Overall, EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.4888 and with a high of 1.4988. Today, The Gfk German Consumer Climate expected 4.3 vs. 4 previously.

EUR/USD – Last: 1.4968

Resistance

1.5000

1.5020

1.5050

Support

1.4920

1.4890

1.4850

British Pound (GBP)

The Dollar rose against Pound. Cable ended a few pips below the opening price against the Dollar after being rejected from levels below 1.65, but the Pound failed to get back above 1.66. The BBA Mortgage Approvals came out 42.2K worse than expected 44K. The Business Investment came out -3% better than expected -3.5%. Overall, GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.6496 and with a high of 1.6617. Today, the GDP expected -0.3% vs. -0.4% previously.

GBP/USD – Last: 1.6605

Resistance

1.5505

1.6650

1.6775

Support

1.6530

1.6500

1.6460

Japanese Yen (JPY)

The Yen was the best performer among major and rose across the board. USD/JPY consolidated below 89.00 and broke below the support. The Trade Balance came out 0.42T better than expected 0.31T. Overall, USD/JPY traded with a low of 88.34 and with a high of 89.06. Today, The Bank of Japan (BOJ) Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes expected.

USD/JPY-Last: 88.48

Resistance

88.80

89.10

89.30

Support

88.35

88.20

87.95

Canadian dollar (CAD)

The Canadian Dollar weakened against its U.S. counterpart as crude oil, the nation’s largest export, and global equities slide, diminishing the appeal of currencies tied to growth. Overall, USD/CAD traded with a low of 1.0552 and with a high of 1.0642. Today, No economic data expected.

USD/CAD – Last: 1.0560

Resistance

1.0645

1.0667

1.0690

Support

1.0560

1.0540

1.0505

Research by http://www.ufxbank.com

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Levels of Fibonacci trading

November 25, 2009 at 8:13 am

Fibonacci can actually prove to be a very essential as well as a valuable addition to the box of tools that you use in your FOREX strategy. Even if you are a new trader in this FOREX market, then it is an advice to you that you should try out on this software once. I am going to provide you with large number of guidelines. Please do read them carefully and Experiment with these guidelines. In order to be really very successful, you just need to learn the right way to do the Fibonacci two-step process. And all the successful traders have used this trading tool and have said, “The level of success that is associated with this tool is quite amazing.”
Great Levels of Fibonacci trading tool more often indicates that how far price of a particular currency or a stock is going to go before it actually stalls and pulls back. It also provides a large number of trading levels where price of the product you possessing can pull back or even it can retrace back before moving on in the direction where trading trend is moving
Now we are going to discuss about The Levels of Fibonacci
The 4 retracement levels that are the most common ones in the FOREX market are as follows: (figures are being rounded off for better understanding):
1.    the first one is 38%
2.    next to 38% is  50%
3.    now comes the retracement level of 62%
4.    and the last but not the least is 79%
The two most common extension levels that are associated with these retracement levels are as follows:
1.    the first and the most crucial extension level is 1.27%
2.    and the second one in this list is 1.62%
By making Use of these Fibonacci tool of trading that comes with most of the charting packages, you just simply need to drag the tool from one of the most recent swing that occurred in FOREX market, be it high or be it low in comparison with the previously occurred high or low swings and do take a very special note about the retracement level of around50%.
This whole trading strategy of trading is known as a Two-Step Strategy because of the following reasons:
In actually a nutshell, the Two-Step trading strategy of Fibonacci means that you have to set an entry order that can be pulled in at the time when the price of the currency touches the level of Fib50%. You need to be really very careful about this particular level. And in order to make a great deal you need to set your trading target at the Fib1.27% extension level. However, all these FOREX strategy of trading are quite risky, but if you play your cards properly then no one can stop you from making profits.

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